How is crypto market cap scenario analysis done?

Define TAM (e.g., global payments: $500T/year), estimate protocol capture percentage (0.1%), apply velocity (V), and calculate market cap via the Equation of Exchange: MC = (TAM × Capture%) / V.

What are the limitations of TAM-based crypto valuation?

TAM capture assumptions are highly speculative. Velocity assumptions are unstable. Most protocols never capture meaningful market share. TAM analysis works best as a ceiling estimate rather than a point prediction.

Crypto Market Cap Scenario Calculator

Calculate implied token price under various market cap scenarios. Compare target market cap to comparable projects, total addressable market (TAM) capture assumptions, and compute required market share gain to justify current/target valuations.

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$ Finance Disclaimer: These calculators are for educational and illustrative purposes only. Results do not constitute financial advice. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment or borrowing decisions.

How to Use

Enter the values for the scenario you are assessing. Calculate implied token price under various market cap scenarios. Compare target market cap to comparable projects, total addressable market (TAM) capture assumptions, and compute required market share gain to justify current/target valuations. Use the market cap scenarios result to inform your calculation.

Crypto Market Cap Scenario Calculator

How to Use

Frequently Asked Questions

How is crypto market cap scenario analysis done?

What are the limitations of TAM-based crypto valuation?